Player
Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR
Year-2 leaps for WRs usually show up in catch rate and YPR before they show up in raw volume. MHJ's 2025 targets-per-game is down, but every per-touch number ticked up. The Cardinals' offense hasn't fed him more, yet he's getting more out of each look.
Year-2 MHJ is more efficient than rookie MHJ — fewer targets per game but higher catch rate, YPR, and TDs per target.
TrendMHJ year-over-year per-target efficiency
| Year | G | Tgt | Tgt/G | Catch % | YPR | TDs/Tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 (rookie) | 17 | 116 | 6.82 | 53.4% | 14.27 | 6.9% |
| 2025 | 12 | 73 | 6.08 | 56.2% | 14.83 | 5.5% |
Why it matters. Year-2 leaps for WRs usually show up in catch rate and YPR before they show up in raw volume. MHJ's 2025 targets-per-game is down, but every per-touch number ticked up. The Cardinals' offense hasn't fed him more, yet he's getting more out of each look.
Among WRs with 20+ deep targets in 2025, MHJ's 57.7% deep catch rate ranks 6th in the league.
Split2025 deep catch rate leaders (WRs, >=20 deep targets, 16+ air yards)
| Rank | Player | Deep Tgt | Deep Rec | Deep Yds | Catch % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stefon Diggs | 24 | 17 | 433 | 70.8% |
| 2 | Kayshon Boutte | 32 | 19 | 469 | 59.4% |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 49 | 29 | 918 | 59.2% |
| 4 | Zay Flowers | 34 | 20 | 599 | 58.8% |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | 53 | 31 | 904 | 58.5% |
| 6 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 26 | 15 | 362 | 57.7% |
| 7 | CeeDee Lamb | 32 | 18 | 570 | 56.3% |
Why it matters. Catch rate on deep balls separates contested-catch X receivers from speed-only field-stretchers. MHJ is in a tight band with Lamb, Nacua, and JSN — all primary targets on contending offenses. Arizona is throwing him deep often, and he's converting at a top-six rate.
11 of his 12 career TDs have come with zero yards after catch — he scores at the catch point, not on the run.
AnomalyAll 12 career receiving TDs — air yards vs YAC
| Season | Wk | Air Yds | YAC | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
| 2024 | 2 | 35 | 25 | 60 |
| 2024 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 2024 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2024 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
| 2024 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2024 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| 2024 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 2025 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Why it matters. This is a fingerprint, not a fluke. MHJ wins routes and high-points the ball — he doesn't break tackles or out-run angles after the catch. It maps to his career 2.59 YAC/reception (2nd-lowest in his 2024 draft class). Defenses can play press and stay disciplined post-catch; they can't out-position him at the catch point.
Among the 2024 WR draft class, MHJ leads in receiving TDs (12) and TDs per reception (11.7%).
Comparison2024 WR class career totals through 2025 (>=80 receptions)
| Player | G | Rec | Yds | TDs | TD/Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 32 | 137 | 2,010 | 13 | 9.5% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 29 | 103 | 1,493 | 12 | 11.7% |
| Ladd McConkey | 34 | 160 | 2,167 | 14 | 8.8% |
| Xavier Worthy | 33 | 120 | 1,457 | 10 | 8.3% |
| Malik Nabers | 19 | 127 | 1,475 | 9 | 7.1% |
| Rome Odunze | 31 | 102 | 1,483 | 9 | 8.8% |
Why it matters. Volume hasn't fully arrived for MHJ, but conversion efficiency has. He turns roughly one in nine receptions into a touchdown — the best rate in a class that includes McConkey, BTJ, Nabers, and Odunze. That's a scoring profile, not just a route-running profile.
2025 target diet is split evenly across depths — but his short and intermediate routes barely produce YAC.
SplitMHJ 2025 target depth distribution and YAC
| Depth | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | YAC/Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep (16+) | 26 | 35.6% | 15 | 362 | 0.5 |
| Intermediate (8-15) | 23 | 31.5% | 8 | 112 | 1.5 |
| Short (<8) | 24 | 32.9% | 18 | 134 | 5.0 |
Why it matters. An even depth diet is unusual for a #4 overall pick X-receiver — most are deployed as either field-stretchers or possession targets. Arizona is asking him to do everything, and the YAC profile suggests he's a catch-point specialist rather than a YAC weapon at any depth.
In the 2024 WR draft class, only Brian Thomas Jr. and Rome Odunze have a higher career YPR than MHJ's 14.50.
Rare2024 WR class career YPR through 2025 (>=80 receptions)
| Player | Rec | Yds | YPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Thomas Jr. | 137 | 2,010 | 14.67 |
| Rome Odunze | 102 | 1,483 | 14.54 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 103 | 1,493 | 14.50 |
| Ladd McConkey | 160 | 2,167 | 13.54 |
| Xavier Worthy | 120 | 1,457 | 12.14 |
| Malik Nabers | 127 | 1,475 | 11.61 |
| Troy Franklin | 95 | 1,026 | 10.80 |
| Xavier Legette | 85 | 868 | 10.21 |
Why it matters. YPR is a route-tree fingerprint. MHJ's 14.50 puts him with the field-stretching X-receivers in his class, not the slot/YAC profiles like Nabers or Worthy. That's consistent with his deep-target share and his low YAC/reception.
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