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Nick Herbig

EDGE · Steelers

Draft round shapes expectations for a career. A 4th-round pick accumulating Crosby-tier first-3-season production signals a genuine scheme miscalculation at draft time — and a Steelers steal that compounds with every year.

15 career sacks in 3 seasons from pick 132 — only Maxx Crosby has more among 4th-round edge rushers since 2015.

Trend

4th-round edge rushers with most sacks in first 3 NFL seasons (2015–2023 classes)

PlayerDraft PickSacks (Yrs 1-3)
Maxx Crosby (2019)106th22
Nick Herbig (2023)132nd15
D.J. Wonnum (2020)117th14
Carl Lawson (2017)116th13
Trey Flowers (2015)101st12

Herbig's 15 regular-season sacks in his first three NFL years (3 → 5 → 7) place him 2nd among all 4th-round edge rushers since 2015 — trailing only Maxx Crosby (22), the Raiders' perennial All-Pro. Every other 4th-rounder in the analysis topped out at 14 or fewer.

Pick 132 out of Wisconsin was drafted to be a rotational body behind T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith. Three years in, his sack trajectory matches a player already in Crosby-tier company by draft value.

Sacks in first 3 NFL seasons — 4th-round edge rushers since 2015

PlayerSacks
Crosby22
Herbig15
Wonnum14
Lawson13
Flowers12

Why it matters. Draft round shapes expectations for a career. A 4th-round pick accumulating Crosby-tier first-3-season production signals a genuine scheme miscalculation at draft time — and a Steelers steal that compounds with every year.

In 2025, Herbig out-sacked T.J. Watt (7 to 6) — the trio of Highsmith, Herbig, and Watt accounted for half of Pittsburgh's sacks.

Rare

Steelers pass rush leaders, 2025 (regular season)

PlayerSacks
Alex Highsmith9
Nick Herbig7
T.J. Watt6
Keeanu Benton5
Cameron Heyward3

In 2025, Herbig's 7 sacks ranked 2nd on the Steelers — ahead of T.J. Watt's 6. Watt is a six-time All-Pro and two-time DPOY; finishing ahead of him on the team is not a normal outcome.

The Highsmith–Herbig–Watt trio combined for 22 of Pittsburgh's 44 team sacks in 2025 — exactly 50%. That trio is one of the deepest edge-rusher groups in the league, and Herbig's emergence as the #2 threat behind Highsmith has shifted how offenses allocate protection.

Why it matters. T.J. Watt is the reference point for elite pass rushing. Finishing ahead of him in sacks — even for one season — is a concrete benchmark most edge rushers never reach. It also means play-callers must now account for three legitimate threats on Pittsburgh's front.

18 QB hits in 2025 — a 64% jump from 2024 (11). His pressure rate is growing faster than his sack count.

Split

Herbig pass rush metrics by season (regular season)

SeasonSacksQB HitsHits per Sack
2023331.0
20245112.2
20257182.6

Herbig's 18 QB hits in 2025 represent a 64% jump over his 11 hits in 2024, on roughly the same snap volume. His sack count grew 40% in the same window — meaning his pressure generation outpaced his finishing rate.

The hits-per-sack ratio of 2.6 in 2025 (up from 1.0 in 2023) signals a player who is consistently reaching the quarterback, not just getting lucky on clean finishes. A rusher generating this volume of disruption with room to improve his conversion rate is a compounding threat.

QB Hits per season

SeasonQB Hits
20233
202411
202518

Why it matters. QB hits measure total QB disruption including near-misses. A rusher whose QB hits are growing faster than his sacks is getting harder to stop at the line — the conversion rate catch-up typically follows in the next season.

13 TFLs in 2025 — more than his first two NFL seasons combined (10). The breakthrough wasn't just about sacks.

Milestone

TFLs by season (regular season)

SeasonTFL
20235
20245
202513

Herbig posted 13 tackles for loss in 2025 — more than his combined total across 2023 (5) and 2024 (5), which stood at 10. The 30% gap over his own two-year baseline shows this wasn't a marginal improvement.

13 TFL is a top-30 number league-wide at the LB/edge position. The TFL spike is the run-defense counterpart to his QB-hit surge: the 2025 breakthrough reached further into the backfield on every play type, not just on passing downs.

Why it matters. TFLs measure how often a defender disrupts the run game before it gets started. Doubling-plus this number from year 3 suggests a scheme usage shift — more penetration assignments, not just containment — which is a permanent upgrade in role.

9 career forced fumbles in 3 seasons — most in the entire 2023 draft class, nearly double the next-highest edge rusher.

Anomaly

2023 draft class — forced fumbles, first 3 NFL seasons

PlayerRoundFF (Yrs 1-3)
Nick Herbig4th9
Tuli Tuipulotu2nd5
Byron Young3rd4
Will Anderson Jr.1st4
Tyree Wilson1st4

Herbig's 9 forced fumbles across 2023–2025 lead the entire 2023 draft class — and he is a 4th-round pick. The next-closest edge rusher, Tuli Tuipulotu (2nd round), has 5. Will Anderson Jr. (pick #3 overall) has 4.

In 2024, Herbig registered 4 forced fumbles, ranking 2nd on Pittsburgh behind T.J. Watt (6). The Wisconsin scout report's 'punches the ball out on every rep' note has aged well: three years of NFL data back it up at the class-leading level.

Why it matters. Forced fumbles are the most volatile and skill-dependent turnover in football. A pass rusher who leads his entire draft class in FF — while playing in a rotation behind two All-Pro teammates — is providing a quality of impact that doesn't show up in sack totals alone.

12 sacks in 2024-25 from pick 132 — 5th in the 2023 class, the only 4th-rounder in the top 5.

Comparison

2023 draft class — sacks in 2024–25 (regular season), top 6

PlayerDraft PickSacks (2024-25)
Will Anderson Jr.#321
Tuli Tuipulotu#5420
Byron Young#7718
Will McDonald IV#1517
Nick Herbig#13212
Yaya Diaby#8211

Herbig's 12 sacks in 2024-25 (5+7) rank him 5th in the entire 2023 draft class — and he is the only 4th-round pick in the top 5. The four players ahead of him were selected in the top 77 picks; Herbig was the 132nd overall pick.

He's producing this in a rotational role. With T.J. Watt and Highsmith drawing the top blocking schemes, Herbig is generating elite results from complementary snaps. A 12-sack pace as a third rusher projects to substantially more as a featured pass rusher.

Why it matters. Draft capital is the market's best guess at a player's ceiling. Outperforming four top-77 picks in the same class in raw sacks — while playing as a third-team rusher — suggests draft value was radically mispriced at pick 132.

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