Player
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · DET Lions
A 100-catch season needs three separate things to hold at once: 145-plus targets, a catch rate in the 70s, and 16 games of health. Repeating it four years running means none of the three has broken. For a receiver being drafted inside the first round, that is a different kind of argument than a single monster year, because the thing being bought is the floor rather than the ceiling.
The streak nobody else is on
Five receivers since 1999 have caught 100 passes in four straight seasons. He is the only one still doing it.
RareStreaks of four or more 100-catch seasons, 1999 to 2025 (regular season)
| Receiver | Span | Seasons |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Brown | 2013-2018 | 6 |
| Marvin Harrison | 1999-2002 | 4 |
| Stefon Diggs | 2020-2023 | 4 |
| Davante Adams | 2020-2023 | 4 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 2022-2025 | 4 |
St. Brown, season by season
| Season | Games | Targets | Catches | Yards | TDs | WR finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 119 | 90 | 912 | 5 | 22nd |
| 2022 | 16 | 146 | 106 | 1,161 | 6 | 7th |
| 2023 | 16 | 164 | 119 | 1,515 | 10 | 3rd |
| 2024 | 17 | 141 | 115 | 1,263 | 12 | 3rd |
| 2025 | 17 | 172 | 117 | 1,401 | 11 | 3rd |
Four of the five streaks are closed. Harrison's ended in 2003, Brown's in 2019, and both Diggs and Adams saw theirs end in 2024. St. Brown's is the only live one, and it enters 2026 needing a fifth straight to match Marvin Harrison's total run.
Why it matters. A 100-catch season needs three separate things to hold at once: 145-plus targets, a catch rate in the 70s, and 16 games of health. Repeating it four years running means none of the three has broken. For a receiver being drafted inside the first round, that is a different kind of argument than a single monster year, because the thing being bought is the floor rather than the ceiling.
Jared Goff has thrown him a larger share of his passes every single year. It is now nearly one throw in three.
TrendShare of Goff's targeted passes that went to St. Brown (regular season)
| Season | Goff targeted throws | To St. Brown | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 472 | 94 | 19.9% |
| 2022 | 563 | 146 | 25.9% |
| 2023 | 578 | 165 | 28.5% |
| 2024 | 511 | 141 | 27.6% |
| 2025 | 546 | 172 | 31.5% |
2025 quarterback-to-receiver concentration, passers with 400+ targeted throws
| Passer | Top target | Throws | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 162 | 35.8% |
| Jared Goff | Amon-Ra St. Brown | 172 | 31.5% |
| Matthew Stafford | Puka Nacua | 166 | 28.6% |
| Jalen Hurts | A.J. Brown | 121 | 28.2% |
| Jacoby Brissett | Trey McBride | 128 | 27.8% |
| Baker Mayfield | Emeka Egbuka | 124 | 23.4% |
The one dip, 2024, is also the season Goff threw the fewest passes of his four full Detroit years. In raw counts the line only goes one way: 94, 146, 165, 141, 172. The 2025 figure is the second-highest single-receiver concentration in football.
Why it matters. Target concentration is the closest thing to a contract between a quarterback and a receiver, and it is stickier than any efficiency number. Detroit has spent four offseasons adding pass catchers and the share going to St. Brown has climbed anyway, which suggests the concentration is a design choice rather than an absence of alternatives. That is the part that carries into 2026 whether or not the supporting cast changes.
Ten yards at a time
Two thirds of his targets travel less than 10 yards in the air. He finished third at the position anyway.
SplitSt. Brown's 2025 targets by air yards (regular season)
| Depth | Targets | Catches | Yards | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behind the line | 16 | 14 | 84 | 3 |
| 0 to 9 yards | 97 | 70 | 639 | 6 |
| 10 to 19 yards | 51 | 30 | 609 | 2 |
| 20 yards or more | 8 | 3 | 80 | 0 |
One hundred and thirteen of his 172 targets, 66 percent, came at nine air yards or fewer, and they produced 723 of his 1,401 yards and nine of his 11 touchdowns. He was thrown eight passes all season that travelled 20 yards in the air, caught three of them, and gained 80 yards on the group. His average target depth of 8.08 was still a career high.
Why it matters. Short targets are the highest-completion, lowest-variance passes in football, which is why a receiver who lives on them posts a weekly floor rather than a weekly ceiling. It also means his production is barely exposed to the two things that wreck deep receivers: a quarterback having an off day on the long ball, and a defense that plays two safeties deep. The trade is real, and in PPR the trade is favorable.
Third in target share, third in opportunity score, third in PPR. Everything about his 2025 lines up in the same place.
Comparison2025 wide receiver usage, players with 10 or more games
| Receiver | Team | Targets | Target share | Air yards share | Opportunity score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 163 | 36.8% | 50.3% | 0.904 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | CIN | 185 | 32.1% | 36.6% | 0.737 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 172 | 31.7% | 38.7% | 0.746 |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 141 | 30.7% | 40.1% | 0.741 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | NYG | 140 | 30.3% | 28.5% | 0.653 |
| Puka Nacua | LA | 166 | 30.1% | 31.9% | 0.675 |
| Zay Flowers | BAL | 118 | 29.9% | 36.0% | 0.701 |
Only Smith-Njigba beat him on the blended opportunity number, and only Chase and Smith-Njigba saw more targets. He and Smith-Njigba were the only two receivers in football to finish top three in target share, opportunity score and total points in the same season.
Why it matters. Opportunity scores blend how many of a team's targets a receiver gets with how much of its downfield passing he owns, and they exist to catch receivers whose point totals are running ahead of their roles. St. Brown's usage number and his output number land in the same spot, which means there is no efficiency gap to give back. The most common way a top-three receiver becomes a WR15 the next year is that the usage was never there in the first place. That is not this.
The 112th pick, five years on
His 2024 catch rate of 81.6 percent on 141 targets is the second best high-volume season since 1999. In 2025 it fell 13 points and he scored more.
AnomalyHighest catch rate in a season with 130+ targets, wide receivers, since 1999
| Receiver | Season | Targets | Catches | Catch rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Thomas | 2018 | 147 | 125 | 85.0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 2024 | 141 | 115 | 81.6% |
| Michael Thomas | 2019 | 185 | 149 | 80.5% |
| Puka Nacua | 2025 | 166 | 129 | 77.7% |
| Davante Adams | 2020 | 149 | 115 | 77.2% |
| Stefon Diggs | 2020 | 166 | 127 | 76.5% |
What changed in 2025
| Season | Targets | Catch rate | Average target depth | Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 141 | 81.6% | 7.67 | 1,263 |
| 2025 | 172 | 68.0% | 8.08 | 1,401 |
He caught two more passes than in 2024 on 31 more targets, and gained 138 more yards. The catch rate fell because Detroit started throwing him deeper and more often, not because he stopped catching. Both directions were worth points.
Why it matters. Catch rate is the stat most often mistaken for a skill when it is mostly a description of where a receiver runs. St. Brown's 2024 number is near the ceiling of what the metric can produce, which made it a near-certainty to fall. What matters is the direction the volume moved at the same time: 31 extra targets bought far more than the 19 extra incompletions cost, and that is why the 2025 line came out ahead.
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT: six receivers have reached a fifth season on a four-year 100-catch streak. Every one who stayed healthy cleared 1,000 yards.
Year five after four straight 100-catch seasons (regular season)
| Receiver | Streak | Year five | Games | Catches | Yards | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Harrison | 1999-2002 | 2003 | 15 | 94 | 1,272 | 10 |
| Antonio Brown | 2013-2016 | 2017 | 14 | 101 | 1,533 | 9 |
| Antonio Brown | 2014-2017 | 2018 | 15 | 104 | 1,297 | 15 |
| Antonio Brown | 2015-2018 | 2019 | 1 | 4 | 56 | 1 |
| Davante Adams | 2020-2023 | 2024 | 14 | 85 | 1,063 | 8 |
| Stefon Diggs | 2020-2023 | 2024 | 8 | 47 | 496 | 3 |
Four of the six cleared 1,000 yards. The two that did not, Brown in 2019 and Diggs in 2024, played one game and eight games. Every case that reached 14 games finished with at least 1,063 yards and eight touchdowns. The claim to grade in January 2027: St. Brown plays 14 or more games and finishes 2026 with 1,000-plus receiving yards and a top-12 PPR finish at his position.
Why it matters. The forecast is deliberately about availability rather than talent, because that is where this cohort actually splits. Nothing in St. Brown's usage profile has softened, his target share is at a career high, and his quarterback throws him nearly a third of everything. The only failure mode the history shows is games missed, which is also the one thing his four-year streak has never had to survive.
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