The Laws › Situations and play calling
Situations and play calling
The surprise pass works best
Holds upThe record backs this up, season after season.
This one is in the FanIQ library with the full rule, the reason it works, and every season we checked.
What the record says
Held in 10 of 10 seasons, from 46,167 records measured.
Read the essay
- Coaches Are More Predictable Than They ThinkStuff a run on first down and the next play is a pass 72% of the time. Let the same run gain five and it drops to 40%.
- The Most Valuable Pass in Football Happens on First DownPassing is a skill that works when the defense has to respect the run, and stops working the moment it doesn't.
- The Snap That Tells You What's ComingOn a first-and-ten with the game still close, the quarterback's feet give away the play call more reliably than almost anything else on the field.
FanIQ carries this one in full: the rule itself, why it works, the season-by-season record, and the related laws.
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