Fantasy: what fades

Touchdown rate does not repeat

Holds upThe record backs this up, season after season.

This one is in the FanIQ library with the full rule, the reason it works, and every season we checked.

Held in 19 of 19 seasons, from 1,609 records measured.

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Touchdowns Win Your Week and Lie About Next SeasonFor running backs, yards per game repeats from year to year at r = 0.598. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.187. One of those is a skill and one is mostly weather.

FanIQ carries this one in full: the rule itself, why it works, the season-by-season record, and the related laws.