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Jets @ Lions

2026 Wk 3 · DET 31, NYJ 24

The Jets wiped out a 14 point fourth quarter deficit to tie it, and Detroit answered in four plays.

Detroit has scored exactly 31 points in all three of its games. Since 1999 only two other teams have opened a season with three identical point totals.

Rare

Every team since 1999 to score the same total in each of its first three regular season games

SeasonTeamWeekOpponentSitePtsOpp pts
2007NE1NYJAway3814
2007NE2LACHome3814
2007NE3BUFHome387
2023SF1PITAway307
2023SF2LAAway3023
2023SF3NYGHome3012
2026DET1NOHome3130
2026DET2BUFAway3141
2026DET3NYJHome3124

That is the complete cohort: the 2007 Patriots at 38, the 2023 49ers at 30, and now the 2026 Lions at 31. The first two teams won all three of those games. Detroit's three 31s produced a one point win, a ten point loss, and this seven point win.

Why it matters. Scoring the same number three weeks running is a coincidence, but the company it puts Detroit in is not: the other two members of this list went on to reach the Super Bowl. The more useful read is the consistency of the output. Three straight games in the low 30s against three different defenses says the offense has a stable floor, even in the week it lost.

The Jets erased a 14 point fourth quarter deficit to tie it with 4:11 left. Detroit needed four plays and 96 seconds to take the lead back.

Trend

Every score in the game, with the running score (DET first)

QtrClockTeamPlayScore
29:38DETBates 30 yard FG3-0
25:40NYJSmith to Sadiq, 24 yard TD3-7
21:40DETGoff to St. Brown, 4 yard TD10-7
311:06DETGibbs 17 yard TD run17-7
36:26NYJSanders 42 yard FG17-10
415:00DETGibbs 1 yard TD run24-10
411:21NYJSmith to Ruckert, 4 yard TD (2 pt failed)24-16
44:11NYJSmith to Wilson, 23 yard TD (2 pt good)24-24
42:30DETGoff to Gibbs, 11 yard TD31-24

Detroit's go ahead drive, 4:06 to 2:30 of the fourth quarter

DownBall onPlayYards
1st and 10DET 35Goff deep middle to TeSlaa49
1st and 10NYJ 16Gibbs left end-1
2nd and 11NYJ 17Goff short left to Gibbs6
3rd and 5NYJ 11Goff short right to Gibbs, TD11

Gibbs' second touchdown made it 24-10 on the first play of the fourth quarter. Two Geno Smith touchdown passes and a successful two point try later, the game was tied at 24 with 4:11 to go. Goff's 49 yard strike to Isaac TeSlaa on the very next snap covered most of the field, and Gibbs caught the go ahead score on third and 5. The Jets' answer drive reached the Detroit 28 before Chuck Clark's strip sack at 0:51, recovered by Detroit, ended it.

Why it matters. A 14 point fourth quarter comeback usually decides a game in the comeback team's favor, because the trailing side has spent its momentum and the leading side's defense is tired. Detroit skipped the long drive entirely: one explosive throw put the ball inside the 20 and a short third down conversion finished it. The Jets got the ball back with time to tie again, so the strip sack on the Detroit 28 is the single play that separated a win from overtime.

Detroit ran 17 times in the second half after 11 in the first, and its EPA per play went from 0.030 to 0.399.

Split

Offense by half, pass and run plays only

TeamHalfPlaysPassRunYardsEPA/playSuccess%TD
DET1st3524111460.03051.4%1
DET2nd2710172370.39970.4%3
NYJ1st292091490.03244.8%1
NYJ2nd3424101880.14947.1%2

Both offenses were flat before halftime, within 0.002 EPA per play of each other. Detroit came out of the break with a run first script, went 17 runs to 10 passes, and produced 237 yards and three touchdowns on 27 plays. Its third quarter alone was 17 plays at 0.542 EPA per play and an 82.4 percent success rate. New York improved too, but from 0.032 to 0.149, a much smaller step.

Why it matters. The halftime shift is the clearest explanation for the final score. Detroit did not throw more to catch up; it ran more and got more efficient, which points to an adjustment in the run game rather than a passing game that simply heated up. A 70 percent success rate over 27 plays is well outside normal half to half variance, so this reads as a real change in approach rather than a small sample bounce.

The Jets' passing game was 0.43 EPA per play better than its 2025 self. Its running game gained 3.05 a carry and lost the game anyway.

Anomaly

Pass and run efficiency, this game versus each team's 2025 regular season

TeamTypeThis game playsEPA/playSuccess%Yds/play2025 EPA/play2025 Success%2025 Yds/play
NYJPass440.24754.5%6.34-0.18038.7%4.27
NYJRun19-0.25826.3%3.05-0.06143.3%4.65
DETPass340.35761.8%7.350.16848.1%6.95
DETRun28-0.01157.1%4.75-0.04141.2%4.75

Geno Smith went 31 of 37 for 321 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions, and Garrett Wilson (107) and Kenyon Sadiq (105) both cleared 100 receiving yards. The 19 Jets runs produced 58 yards and a 26.3 percent success rate, and Smith was sacked 5 times for 44 yards. Detroit's passing game also beat its 2025 baseline, and its runs succeeded 57.1 percent of the time against a 41.2 percent baseline.

Why it matters. New York finished 29th of 32 in offensive EPA per play in 2025, so a passing day this efficient is a departure from the team's recent profile rather than a return to it. The problem is that it came with a run game that failed on nearly three of every four carries, which left the Jets one dimensional on the downs that mattered and exposed Smith to five sacks, the last of which was the strip sack that ended the game. A one game sample, but the pass and run halves of this offense are pulling in opposite directions.

Gibbs' three touchdowns gave him five games with three or more scrimmage scores since 2023. Only Jonathan Taylor has more.

Comparison

Most regular season games with 3 or more rushing plus receiving TDs, 2023 to 2026

RankPlayerGames
1Jonathan Taylor6
2Jahmyr Gibbs5
3Christian McCaffrey3
4David Montgomery2
4Derrick Henry2
4James Cook2

Gibbs' five games with 3 or more touchdowns

SeasonWeekOppRush TDRec TDCarriesRush ydsRecRec yds
202418MIN3123139531
202510WAS2115142330
202512NYG21152191145
202514DAL301243777
20263NYJ212099765

Gibbs ran 20 times for 99 yards and two scores and caught 7 passes for 65 yards and the go ahead touchdown. All five have come in his last 22 regular season weeks, starting with the 2024 finale against Minnesota. Taylor's six lead the league over the span; McCaffrey is the only other back with more than two.

Why it matters. Multi touchdown games measure how often a back is the finisher near the goal line and in the passing game at the same time, and Gibbs is now the closest thing the league has to Taylor on that count. The receiving touchdown here matters as much as the two runs: it was the go ahead score on third and 5, which is the kind of play a pure early down runner does not get. Detroit's offense keeps building its scoring around one player, and so far he has held up.

The Jets had won all three of their visits to Detroit since 1999. This was the Lions' first home win in the series in the database.

Milestone

Every Jets versus Lions meeting since 1999

SeasonWeekSiteResultWinner
200016NYJDET 10, NYJ 7DET
200211DETNYJ 31, DET 14NYJ
20067NYJNYJ 31, DET 24NYJ
20109DETNYJ 23, DET 20NYJ
20144NYJDET 24, NYJ 17DET
20181DETNYJ 48, DET 17NYJ
202215NYJDET 20, NYJ 17DET
20263DETDET 31, NYJ 24DET

Eight meetings in the database, and the series is now 4-4. Before this game every Detroit win had come on the road at the Jets, and every game played in Detroit had gone to New York, including a 48-17 rout in the 2018 opener. Six of the eight meetings were decided by 7 points or fewer.

Why it matters. Interconference opponents meet once every four years, so a home losing streak in this series took 24 years to build and could not be fixed quickly. The 2026 game also fits the series' pattern of one score results: this one was tied with 4:11 left. The claim is scoped to the database, which starts in 1999; earlier meetings are not included.

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