Game recap
49ers @ Eagles
Wild Card · 2025 · PHI 19, SF 23
A blowout conference-title loss is the kind of result that lingers in a rivalry; getting a playoff win back against the same opponent, on the road, in the very next postseason meeting on file, is a meaningful reversal rather than a routine result.
San Francisco avenged a 2022 NFC title-game blowout loss to Philadelphia with this road win
MilestoneSF-PHI meetings on file (all game types)
| Season | Round | Away | Home | Away Score | Home Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | REG | SF | PHI | 13 | 27 | PHI |
| 2010 | REG | PHI | SF | 27 | 24 | PHI |
| 2011 | REG | SF | PHI | 24 | 23 | SF |
| 2014 | REG | PHI | SF | 21 | 26 | SF |
| 2017 | REG | SF | PHI | 10 | 33 | PHI |
| 2020 | REG | PHI | SF | 25 | 20 | PHI |
| 2021 | REG | SF | PHI | 17 | 11 | SF |
| 2022 | CON | SF | PHI | 7 | 31 | PHI |
| 2023 | REG | SF | PHI | 42 | 19 | SF |
| 2025 | WC | SF | PHI | 23 | 19 | SF |
The last playoff meeting between these franchises was the 2022 NFC Championship Game, which Philadelphia won 31-7 at home. Three seasons later, San Francisco returned to Philadelphia for a Wild Card game and won 23-19 — its first playoff win over the Eagles on record in this database.
Why it matters. A blowout conference-title loss is the kind of result that lingers in a rivalry; getting a playoff win back against the same opponent, on the road, in the very next postseason meeting on file, is a meaningful reversal rather than a routine result.
Philadelphia led entering the 4th of a win-or-go-home game — San Francisco closed on a 13-3 run
TrendScore at end of each quarter (PHI home, SF away)
| Qtr | PHI | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | 10 |
| 3 | 16 | 10 |
| 4 | 19 | 23 |
San Francisco led after the first quarter, Philadelphia took the lead in the second and held it through three quarters (16-10 entering the fourth). San Francisco then outscored Philadelphia 13-3 in the final period to win 23-19 and end the Eagles' season.
Why it matters. In an elimination game, the fourth-quarter split is the entire story — Philadelphia's offense managed only 3 points in the period that decided its season, while San Francisco's response (13 points) is exactly the kind of situational execution that separates a team that keeps playing from one that goes home.
Philadelphia's offense was solid in the first half, then nearly disappeared in the second
SplitFirst half vs second half efficiency
| Team | Half | Plays | EPA/play | Success% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | H1 | 36 | 0.187 | 52.8% |
| PHI | H2 | 36 | -0.269 | 33.3% |
| SF | H1 | 26 | 0.120 | 38.5% |
| SF | H2 | 29 | 0.090 | 62.1% |
Philadelphia's EPA/play fell from +0.187 in the first half to -0.269 in the second, exactly when the game was decided. San Francisco's EPA/play barely moved (0.120 to 0.090), but its success rate jumped from 38.5% to 62.1% — a sign of shorter, more reliable gains replacing its earlier low-percentage shots.
Why it matters. Philadelphia's collapse and San Francisco's steadiness in the same window (the second half of an elimination game) is a cleaner explanation for the result than either team's full-game or season-long numbers — this was decided in the final 30 minutes, not across the whole game.
San Francisco's offense matched its strong season level; Philadelphia fell below its own average
ComparisonIn-game EPA/play vs each team's 2025 regular-season average
| Team | This game EPA/play | This game success% | Season avg EPA/play | Season NFL rank | Delta vs own average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | -0.041 | 43.1% | 0.026 | 15th | -0.067 |
| SF | 0.104 | 50.9% | 0.088 | 6th | +0.016 |
San Francisco finished the regular season 6th in offensive EPA/play and played almost exactly to that level in this game (+0.016 deviation). Philadelphia, a 15th-ranked offense during the season, fell slightly below even that modest bar.
Why it matters. When the lower seed's offense simply performs at its established level while the higher seed dips below its own, the 'upset' framing undersells what actually happened — San Francisco didn't need a miracle game, just its normal level, because Philadelphia didn't provide its own.
FanIQ answers any NFL stats question with receipts, on your phone.
Get FanIQ freeGet it on Google Play