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Cowboys @ Eagles

2025 Wk 1 · PHI 24, DAL 20

A rivalry this evenly matched (5-5 over a decade) makes both the tight opener and the historic Week 12 comeback feel less like flukes and more like the natural output of two teams that consistently play each other within a score or two — this database confirms the perception with an exact number.

This tight opener preceded the Week 12 rematch — the largest comeback of the 2025 season

Milestone

DAL-PHI 2025 season series

RoundAwayHomeAway ScoreHome ScoreMargin
Week 1DALPHI2024PHI +4
Week 12PHIDAL2124DAL +3

DAL-PHI last 10 meetings (parity check)

SeasonAwayHomeWinner
2021PHIDALDAL
2021DALPHIDAL
2022DALPHIPHI
2022PHIDALDAL
2023DALPHIPHI
2023PHIDALDAL
2024PHIDALPHI
2024DALPHIPHI
2025DALPHIPHI
2025PHIDALDAL

Philadelphia escaped this opener by 4 points. Their Week 12 rematch in Dallas would go on to be Dallas erasing a 21-point deficit to win — tied for the largest comeback in any 2025 NFL game. Zoomed out, the rivalry itself is dead even: each team has won exactly 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Why it matters. A rivalry this evenly matched (5-5 over a decade) makes both the tight opener and the historic Week 12 comeback feel less like flukes and more like the natural output of two teams that consistently play each other within a score or two — this database confirms the perception with an exact number.

Philadelphia built a 21-7 halftime lead, then both offenses went cold in the second half

Split

Score at end of each quarter (PHI home, DAL away)

QtrPHIDAL
177
22117
32420
42420

First half vs second half efficiency

TeamHalfPlaysEPA/playSuccess%
PHIH1300.55563.3%
PHIH229-0.24737.9%
DALH1290.40458.6%
DALH226-0.37730.8%

Both offenses were excellent in the first half (Philadelphia +0.555, Dallas +0.404 EPA/play) and both collapsed almost identically in the second (-0.247 and -0.377). No points were scored in the fourth quarter at all — Philadelphia's 21-7 halftime cushion shrank to 24-20 by the final whistle as both teams stalled out.

Why it matters. Both teams inverting from strong to poor at almost the same rate, rather than one team's defense adjusting and the other's not, suggests situational factors (game management, clock, conservative play-calling with a lead) drove the second-half slowdown more than a single tactical adjustment.

Philadelphia opened the season playing like a top-3 offense, a level it didn't sustain all year

Comparison

In-game EPA/play vs each team's 2025 season average (this game excluded)

TeamThis game EPA/playThis game success%Season avg EPA/playSeason NFL rankDelta vs own average
DAL0.03545.5%0.1005th-0.065
PHI0.16050.8%0.01715th+0.143

Philadelphia finished 2025 as a middling 15th-ranked offense (0.017 EPA/play across its other 16 games), but opened the season at 0.160 — a level that would have ranked among the league's best had it held all year. Dallas, the eventual 5th-ranked offense, actually played below its own average in the opener.

Why it matters. A season opener is the one game with zero prior-week form to compare against, and Philadelphia's here is a clean example of why that makes openers risky evidence — the team that looked like a top-3 unit in Week 1 settled in at 15th by year's end.

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